Nothing in the argument required the arc to be a semicircle. If the arc has length xxx times the circumference (where x≤1/2x \leq 1/2x≤1/2), each anchor's event has probability xN−1x^{N-1}xN−1 instead of (1/2)N−1(1/2)^{N-1}(1/2)N−1. Mutual exclusivity still holds because the gap is at least 1−x≥1/21 - x \geq 1/21−x≥1/2 of the circumference, too large for any other anchor's arc to bridge:
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"NASA must standardize its approach, increase flight rate safely, and execute on the President’s national space policy. With credible competition from our greatest geopolitical adversary increasing by the day, we need to move faster, eliminate delays, and achieve our objectives," said Isaacman. "Standardizing vehicle configuration, increasing flight rate and progressing through objectives in a logical, phased approach, is how we achieved the near-impossible in 1969 and it is how we will do it again."
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